Independence referendum / Appendix

Appendix 

The following table shows the results of a logistic regression analysis of whether people are inclined to vote Yes rather than No in the referendum. All variables examined in the chapter were available for inclusion in the model, but only those that were statistically significant at the 5% level are actually included. People’s age, sex and social class were also available for inclusion but none proved to be independently significant after taking account of the variables that are included in the model. People’s views of the economic consequences of independence, its implications for their personal finance and their Moreno national identity were all regarded as interval level variables, with “don’t know” responses assigned to the middle category. Other variables were regarded as categorical variables and each coefficient measures the impact of being in that category as opposed to the one shown in brackets.

Independence _referendum _T_A.1

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Notes
  1. Much the same pattern of response was obtained when three of the four questions (on the economy, the standard of living and taxes) were previously asked on the 2011 and 2012 surveys.
  2. Bases for Table 3.4 are as follows:
    Independence _referendum _T_notes _1
    Independence _referendum _T_notes _2

  3. The picture was much the same when the question was also asked in 2012: then 47 per cent said it would not make any difference, 25 per cent that the gap would be bigger and just 19 per cent that it would be smaller. 

  4. Bases for Table 3.10 are as follows:
    Independence _referendum _T_notes _3
    Independence _referendum _T_notes _4

  5. Note that neither sex, age or social class proved to be significant independently of the considerations that were included in the model. So the gender, age and class differences identified earlier in the chapter simply reflect differences between these groups in the incidence of identity and/or perceptions of the consequences of independence.

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  • Download chapter
  • Authors
  • Notes
    1. Much the same pattern of response was obtained when three of the four questions (on the economy, the standard of living and taxes) were previously asked on the 2011 and 2012 surveys.
    2. Bases for Table 3.4 are as follows:
      Independence _referendum _T_notes _1
      Independence _referendum _T_notes _2

    3. The picture was much the same when the question was also asked in 2012: then 47 per cent said it would not make any difference, 25 per cent that the gap would be bigger and just 19 per cent that it would be smaller. 

    4. Bases for Table 3.10 are as follows:
      Independence _referendum _T_notes _3
      Independence _referendum _T_notes _4

    5. Note that neither sex, age or social class proved to be significant independently of the considerations that were included in the model. So the gender, age and class differences identified earlier in the chapter simply reflect differences between these groups in the incidence of identity and/or perceptions of the consequences of independence.

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